The Times They Are A Changin’

 

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter uses the Bob Dylan song to point out how the job market has changed.

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Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter has been a recruiter for more than 40 years.

Follow him at The Big Game Hunter, Inc. on LinkedIn for more articles, videos and podcasts than what are offered here and jobs he is recruiting for.

Visit www.TheBigGameHunter.us. There’s a lot more advice there.

Email me if your firm is trying to hire someone.

Connect with me on LinkedIn

Pay what you want for my books about job search

Subscribe to TheBigGameHunterTV on YouTube for advice about job hunting and hiring. Like videos, share and comment.

Trying to hire someone? Email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us

Do you need more in-depth coaching? Join my Coaching program.

Want to ask me a question via email, chat or phone ? Reach me via PrestoExperts or Clarity.fm

 

 

The Job Market: July 2015

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter, and his views on the job market.

“I have been blogging about the job market in the US and around the world since August 2001.”

What I write is not designed to be political or critical; they are my observations and sense of where we are and where we are going.

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July, 2015

 

The U.S. Department of Labor said the economy added 223,000 jobs last month and the U-3 rate of unemployment rate in the US is now 5.3%. Down from 5.5%. The report indicates that the reduction in the unemployment rate was caused by people giving up their efforts to look for work. My opinion is that the weather was nice and they decided to enjoy it; they’ll return in the fall.

The U6 unemployment rate counts not only people without work seeking full-time employment (the  U-3 rate), but also counts “marginally attached workers and those working part-time for economic reasons.”That percentage came in at 10.5%. That is down from a peak of 16.9% in November 2015.

The report also continues a downward trend in revisions to previous months. The previous month was revised to 254000 from 280000; the previous month became 187000 from 223000.

The labor force participation rate hit its lowest level since 1977 after declining a “fairly dramatic” 0.3% to 62.6%. This rate had remained in a narrow 62.7% to 62.9% range since April 2014.This is the lowest rate since 1977

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (4.8 percent), 
adult women (4.8 percent), and blacks (9.5 percent) edged down in June, while the rates 
for teenagers (18.1 percent), whites (4.6 percent), Asians (3.8 percent), and Hispanics 
(6.6 percent) showed little change.

The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) declined by 
381,000 to 2.1 million in June. These individuals accounted for 25.8 percent of the 
unemployed. Over the past 12 months, the number of long-term unemployed has declined 
by 955,000

Employment in professional and business services increased by 64,000 in June, about 
in line with the average monthly gain of 57,000 over the prior 12 months. In June, 
employment continued to trend up in temporary help services (+20,000), in architectural 
and engineering services (+4,000), and in computer systems design and related services 
(+4,000).

Health care added 40,000 jobs in June. Job gains were distributed among the three 
component industries--ambulatory care services (+23,000), hospitals (+11,000), and 
nursing and residential care facilities (+7,000). Employment in health care had grown 
by an average of 34,000 per month over the prior 12 months.

Employment in retail trade increased by 33,000 in June and has risen by 300,000 over 
the year. In June, general merchandise stores added 10,000 jobs.

In June, employment in financial activities increased by 20,000, with most of the 
increase in insurance carriers and related activities (+9,000) and in securities, 
commodity contracts, and investments (+7,000). Commercial banking employment 
declined by 6,000. Employment in financial activities has grown by 159,000 over 
the year, with insurance accounting for about half of the gain.

Transportation and warehousing added 17,000 jobs in June. Employment in truck 
transportation continued to trend up over the month (+7,000) and has increased by 
19,000 over the past 3 months.

Employment in food services and drinking places continued to trend up in June 
(+30,000) and has increased by 355,000 over the year.
Employment in mining continued to trend down in June (-4,000). Since a recent 
high in December 2014, employment in mining has declined by 71,000, with losses 
concentrated in support activities for mining.
All of us in recruiting are seeing strong hiring. What do you see? Is your firm hiring or laying off?

Do many of you see evidence of a slowdown in hiring (except in oil and gas and mining) or are things growing?

If you do, email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us

 

(©) Jeff Altman, Asheville, NC 2015

 

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter has been a recruiter for more than 40 years.and is the Host of “Job Search Radio.” You can connect with me on LinkedIn and/or follow me at The Big Game Hunter, Inc. on LinkedIn for more articles, videos and podcasts than what are offered here and jobs he is recruiting for.

Receive a complimentary subscription to No B.S. Job Search Advice Ezine and/or No B. S. Hiring Advice Ezine at TheBigGameHunter.us.

Trying to hire someone? Email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us.

Are you someone at a manager level or above and need more in-depth job search coaching? Join my coaching program.

Want to ask me a question via email, chat, phone or video? Reach me via PrestoExperts

The Job Market Report for December 2014

 

This is a simulcast of “No B. S. Job Search Advice Radio” for January 12 2015 in which I talk about the job market.

 

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter has been a recruiter for more than 40 years.

Follow him at The Big Game Hunter, Inc. on LinkedIn for more articles, videos and podcasts than what are offered here and jobs he is recruiting for.

Visit www.TheBigGameHunter.us. There’s a lot more advice there.

Email me if your firm is trying to hire someone.

Connect with me on LinkedIn

Pay what you want for my books about job search

Subscribe to TheBigGameHunterTV on YouTube for advice about job hunting and hiring. Like videos, share and comment.

Trying to hire someone? Email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us

Do you need more in-depth coaching? Join my Coaching program.

Want to ask me a question via email, chat or phone ? Reach me via PrestoExperts or Clarity.fm

The Job Market June 2015

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter, and his views on the job market.

“I have been blogging about the job market in the US and around the world since August 2001.”

What I write is not designed to be political or critical; they are my observations and sense of where we are and where we are going.

——————————————–

June, 2015

The U.S. Department of Labor said the economy added 280,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate in the US is now 5.5%. Economists believe that increase in unemployment was caused by a return of discouraged workers to making an effort to finding work.

Of those 280000 jobs, 210000 came about because the US Bureau of Labor Statistics believes that 210000 were created by small businesses they cannot prove exist that created jobs they cannot prove were created.

Yes, you did read that correctly.

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (5.0 percent), adult women 
(5.0 percent), teenagers (17.9 percent), whites (4.7 percent), blacks (10.2 percent), Asians (4.1 percent),
and Hispanics (6.7 percent) showed little or no change in May.

The number of unemployed new entrants edged up by 103,000 in May but is about unchanged over the 
year. Unemployed new entrants are those who never previously worked. In other words, your recent grad 
who is sitting home without a job is typical according to the government. Don't give them a pass. Push them
to get out and job hunt (And order a resume critiqued from me to get them off to a good start).
In May, the civilian labor force rose by 397,000, and the labor force participation rate was little changed at 
62.9 percent. Since April 2014, the participation rate has remained within a narrow range of 62.7 percent to62.9 percent. The employment-population ratio, at 59.4 percent, was essentially unchanged in May. 

The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary 
part-time workers) was about unchanged at 6.7 million in May and has shown little movement in recent 
months. These people, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because 
their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job.
In May, 1.9 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force, down by 268,000 from a year earlier.(The data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were 
available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as 
unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. 

Among the marginally attached, there were 563,000 discouraged workers in May, down by 134,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 1.3 million persons marginally attached to the labor force in May had not searched for work for reasons such as school attendance or 
family responsibilities.
Professional and business services added 63,000 jobs in May and 671,000 jobs over the year. In May, 
employment increased in computer systems design and related services (+10,000). Employment continued
to trend up in temporary help services (+20,000), in management and technical consulting services 
(+7,000), and in architectural and engineering services (+5,000).

Employment in leisure and hospitality increased by 57,000 in May, following little change in the prior 2 
months. In May, employment edged up in arts, entertainment, and recreation (+29,000). Employment
in food services and drinking places has shown little net change over the past 3 months.

Health care added 47,000 jobs in May. Within the industry, employment in ambulatory care services 
(which includes home health care services and outpatient care centers) rose by 28,000. 
Hospitals added 16,000 jobs over the month. Over the past year, health care has added 408,000
jobs.

Employment in retail trade edged up in May (+31,000). Over the prior 12 months, the industry had added 
an average of 24,000 jobs per month. Within retail trade, automobile dealers added 8,000 jobs in May. 

Construction employment continued to trend up over the month (+17,000) and has increased by 273,000 
over the past year.

In May, employment continued on an upward trend in transportation and
warehousing (+13,000). Truck transportation added 9,000 jobs over the
month.

Employment continued to trend up in financial activities (+13,000). Over the past 12 months, the industry has added 160,000 jobs, with about half of the gain in insurance carriers and related activities.

Employment in mining fell for the fifth month in a row, with a decline of 17,000 in May. The loss was in 
support activities for mining.Employment in mining has decreased by 68,000 thus far this year, after
increasing by 41,000 in 2014.
According to Glassdoor, there is high demand for workers from tech, professional services, health care and hospitality businesses. These industries are seeing some wage growth. When there is an imbalance of 
supply and demand employers need to offer slightly better wages
All of us in recruiting are seeing strong hiring. What do you see? Is your firm hiring or laying off?

Do many of you see evidence of a slowdown in hiring (except in oil and gas) or are things growing?

If you do, email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us

 

(©) Jeff Altman, Asheville, NC 2015

 

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter has been a recruiter for more than 40 years.and is the Host of “Job Search Radio.” You can connect with me on LinkedIn and/or follow me at The Big Game Hunter, Inc. on LinkedIn for more articles, videos and podcasts than what are offered here and jobs he is recruiting for.

Receive a complimentary subscription to No B.S. Job Search Advice Ezine and/or No B. S. Hiring Advice Ezine at TheBigGameHunter.us.

Trying to hire someone? Email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us.

Are you someone at a manager level or above and need more in-depth job search coaching? Join my coaching program.

Want to ask me a question via email, chat, phone or video? Reach me via PrestoExperts

The Job Market: May 2015

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter, and his views on the job market.

“I have been blogging about the job market in the US and around the world since August 2001.”

What I write is not designed to be political or critical; they are my observations and sense of where we are and where we are going.

——————————————–

May, 2015

The U.S. Department of Labor said the economy added 223,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate in the US is now 5.4%. Over the year, the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed persons were down by 0.8 percentage point and 1.1 million, respectively.

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rate for Asians increased to 4.4 percent. The rates for adult men (5.0 percent), adult women (4.9 percent), teenagers (17.1 percent), whites (4.7 percent), blacks (9.6 percent), and Hispanics (6.9 percent) showed little or no change in April. 

The number of persons unemployed for less than 5 weeks increased by 241,000 to 2.7 million in April. The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) changed little at 2.5 million, 
accounting for 29.0 percent of the unemployed. Over the past 12 months, the number of long-term 
unemployed has decreased by 888,000. 

In April, the civilian labor force participation rate (62.8 percent) changed little. Since April 2014, the 
participation rate has remained within a narrow range of 62.7 percent to 62.9 percent. The employment-
population ratio held at 59.3 percent in April and has been at this level since January.

The number of jobs for March was revised downward to 85000 new jobs.

Professional and business services added 62,000 jobs in April. Over the prior 3 months, job gains 
averaged 35,000 per month. In April, services to buildings and dwellings added 16,000 jobs, following little change in March. Employment continued to trend up in April in computer systems design and related 
services (+9,000), in business support services (+7,000), and in management and technical consulting 
services (+6,000).

Health care employment increased by 45,000 in April. Job growth was distributed among the three major 
components--ambulatory health care services (+25,000), hospitals (+12,000), and nursing and residential 
care facilities (+8,000). Over the past year, health care has added 390,000 jobs.

Employment in construction rose by 45,000 in April, after changing little in March. Over the past 12 months, construction has added 280,000 jobs. In April, job growth was concentrated in specialty trade contractors
(+41,000), with employment gains about evenly split between the residential and nonresidential components. 
Employment declined over the month in nonresidential building construction (-8,000).

In April, employment continued to trend up in transportation and warehousing (+15,000).
What you don't know is that in this month, the US BLS added 210000 jobs to its 
numbers that they cannot prove were created by businesses that they can't prove 
exist.

Yes, you read that right. Almost all of the job changes came from a statistical 
adjustment.

And, even with that, all of us in recruiting are seeing strong hiring.

What do you see?

Is your firm hiring or laying off?

Do many of you see evidence of a slowdown in hiring (except in oil and gas) or are things growing?

If you do, email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us

(©) Jeff Altman, Asheville, NC 2015

Jeff Altman, The Big Game Hunter has been a recruiter for more than 40 years.and is the Host of “Job Search Radio.” You can connect with me on LinkedIn and/or follow me at The Big Game Hunter, Inc. on LinkedIn for more articles, videos and podcasts than what are offered here and jobs he is recruiting for.

Receive a complimentary subscription to No B.S. Job Search Advice Ezine and/or No B. S. Hiring Advice Ezine at TheBigGameHunter.us.

Trying to hire someone? Email me at JeffAltman@TheBigGameHunter.us.

Are you someone at a manager level or above and need more in-depth job search coaching? Join my coaching program.

Want to ask me a question via email, chat, phone or video? Reach me via PrestoExperts

 

Cycles in the Job Market

There is a hilarious scene in the movie, “Being There” where Chauncey Gardner (who is actually Chance the Gardener” as played by Peter Sellers as a dunce with wisdom that impresses great men and the women who love them speaks about the cycles of the year and of economic cycles.

The dialogue is:

President “Bobby” : Mr. Gardner, do you agree with Ben, or do you think that we can stimulate growth through temporary incentives?
[ Long pause ]
Chance the Gardener : As long as the roots are not severed, all is well. And all will be well in the garden.
President “Bobby” : In the garden.
Chance the Gardener : Yes. In the garden, growth has it seasons. First comes spring and summer, but then we have fall and winter. And then we get spring and summer again.
President “Bobby” : Spring and summer.
Chance the Gardener : Yes.
President “Bobby” : Then fall and winter.
Chance the Gardener : Yes.
Benjamin Rand : I think what our insightful young friend is saying is that we welcome the inevitable seasons of nature, but we’re upset by the seasons of our economy.
Chance the Gardener : Yes! There will be growth in the spring!
Benjamin Rand : Hmm!
Chance the Gardener : Hmm!
President “Bobby” : Hm. Well, Mr. Gardner, I must admit that is one of the most refreshing and optimistic statements I’ve heard in a very, very long time.
[ Benjamin Rand applauds ]
President “Bobby” : I admire your good, solid sense. That’s precisely what we lack on Capitol Hill.

Well, their are cycles to a job search, too.

First comes the kickoff of the year. It does not start January second but, usually a week or two later once people have returned from Christmas vacations or breaks and become re-acclimated to their work situations again.

It builds up steam until Memorial Day when temporary and consulting hiring picks up steam (we’re running behind on some things and need to augment our staff; plus, we are dealing with vacations and need some people to help tie us over). Hiring employees is slower during the summer while hiring consultants picks up until after Labor Day.

After Labor Day, hiring picks up again with temporary blips for holidays until after Thanksgiving when the first cold weather or snow fall reminds people that Christmas is approaching and that is time to shop (I confess, I don’t know how it works in warm weather areas; I do know that in environments where it gets cold, snowstorms are the best barometer).

Once the snow falls in December, often the job market disappears until after the beginning of the year.

(©) The Big Game Hunter, Inc, Asheville, NC 2010